No End In Sight
Last week I ran out to get milk, eggs, and orange juice. I noticed my tank was running a little low, but I decided to hit the gas station on my way home. By the time I got to the pump, gas was .05 higher than when I first passed by—seriously!
Sound like a familiar story?
Unfortunately, it seems that our days of low—or at least reasonable—gas prices may be over. Crude oil reached a new record high of over $125 a barrel last week. That is an increase of 150% over the last five years; it is also higher than the oil spike in the late 1970’s that followed the Iranian revolution.
Of course, we are all feeling a painful bite in our checkbooks. The dollar is weakening, wages are relatively stagnant, and the price of everything around us is constantly rising.
To make matters worse, go ahead and take a look at your immediate surroundings. Almost everything you see is petroleum based, from your carpet….to your fence…to your car’s tires. And unless you’re closet is exclusively stuffed with rarely found U.S-made garments, most of the clothes you own burned through a fair amount of oil to reach you. It’s fair to say that oil directly affects pretty much everything we do. Are you eating a hot dog? Oil was involved! Are you doing your laundry? Yep—oil touched everything there too.
Although I’d love to think otherwise, our oil dependence isn’t going anywhere. Even if we develop alternative energy sources (which will inevitably pose thier own set of problems), oil will most likely continue to have a large bearing on our everyday lives.
The recent spike in oil prices has caused harsh consequences both at home and abroad. As prices continue to rise (we can’t have the oil companies’ cutting back on profits), those consequences will have considerably far-reaching effects.
Luckily, the U.S. hasn’t experienced any major food shortages yet. But don’t get too relaxed; our oil dependence has caused damage in many other areas of our lives. For example, record-breaking prices have resulted in job cutbacks and delayed construction projects.
As discussed earlier, petroleum is a part of almost everything. Because of severely high production costs, a record number of manufacturing plants have recently announced cutbacks and layoffs. Many loyal, lifelong employees have been kindly invited to vacate the premises and start over. My question is: How do you start from scratch after decades of service?
Many local and state governments have also started to cut back or delay construction projects because asphalt is—you guessed it—petroleum based. Remember last’s years Mississippi Bridge collapse? I wonder if cutbacks in construction will cause similar problems. And what of those pesky potholes we all swerve to avoid? Well, watch out! They might be around for a while.
****************************************
If you think things seem bad here, remember the pain we’re feeling is nothing compared to the trials many of our brothers and sisters are facing around the globe.
Oil has contributed to skyrocketing food prices worldwide. Of course, oil alone is not responsible for shortages. It does, however, play a large role in the harvest, cultivation, and transport of staple foods. The demand for these foods has done nothing but rise with the population and economic growth of other countries. With shortages already underway, the amount of people who have access and the means to obtain basic foods has started to dwindle. To make matters worse, livestock, who also eat a large amount of grain, have been affected as well.
The riots we’ve been hearing about at a rising rate are a bit more understandable when the potential consequences of severe food shortages are realized.
****************************************
The political effects of oil are producing red flags all over the world, too.
Take Saudi Arabia, for example. While many of us are hoping to be able to afford our next trip to the gas station, the Arabian Peninsula is flowing with oil money. And, as we all know, he who has the money has the power. This means the Arabs will begin to have a large global influence in the political realm. While nobody can know for sure what they will do with this influence, if the past is any indication, they may start to buy the loyalties of dissidents and scattered tribes.
For us, a large rise in Saudi power will result in even more dependence on the Saudi’s, their oil, and their money. The latter may be the most concerning because if the Saudi’s start to invest in global real estate markets and equity firms, many of us will have no choice but to answer to big power half a world away.
****************************************
I can’t help but feel a little depressed every time I make a purchase of any kind. Sticking to a budget is hard enough without having to worry about prices rising hourly. Our family’s moderate grocery and gas budgets have almost doubled in the past few months. And since we don’t have a choice on these two items, other parts of our budget have been gobbled up. No more luxury purchases for us…..
Perhaps the most depressing thing about all of this is we are all helpless when it comes to oil and food prices. And it’s not like we can trade a good attitude for lower gas prices. We are being forced to roll with the punches….and there’s no end in sight.
Perhaps the only good thing about this is we have the opportunity to prepare for worsening conditions. We haven’t been dealt such a huge blow that we can’t recover at this point. We can grow our own gardens, build up a large supply of food, and preserve oil and gas by staying in more often.
We still have the ability to plan for the future, but the time to do this is now. If we wait until food and oil prices are so high that we have to choose between heating our houses and feeding our children, it may be too late to create a good preparedness plan.
My best advice is:
· Don’t panic! Create a plan that works for your family and stick to it.
· Start small. YOUR EMERGENCY PLAN SHOUL NOT INVOLVE GOING INTO DEBT.
· Keep your debts at a minimum, and, if possible, save something every month.
· Use your food storage as much as possible. This will keep your food and gas costs down.
NOTE: Although the subject is not directly related to this entry, I can’t ignore my urge to include the following information.
The three largest U.S. oil companies reported another record profit year for 2007. ExxonMobil announced a profit margin of $40.6 billion, Chevron’s profits totaled $18.7 billion, and Conoco took a profit of $11.9 billion. These companies have also been using much of this profit to buy back their own stock, which, of course, jacks prices up even more.




